Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.179927 0.210019 0.243035 0.281872 0.326224 0.375216 0.433346
2025-12-07 0.124492 0.163790 0.211604 0.273693 0.351780 0.446286 0.568831
2025-12-14 0.093521 0.134803 0.189105 0.264977 0.367325 0.499545 0.682032
2025-12-21 0.073972 0.115178 0.173034 0.258912 0.381554 0.548512 0.790639
2025-12-28 0.062812 0.104565 0.166572 0.263460 0.408612 0.614995 0.926736
2026-01-04 0.055351 0.097836 0.164162 0.272591 0.441955 0.691983 1.083056
2026-01-11 0.048641 0.090961 0.160184 0.278185 0.469690 0.762226 1.234435
2026-01-18 0.042576 0.084029 0.154906 0.280584 0.491968 0.825258 1.379086
2026-01-25 0.037200 0.077337 0.148939 0.280749 0.510041 0.882441 1.518193
2026-02-01 0.032189 0.070434 0.141553 0.277320 0.521285 0.928909 1.642897
2026-02-08 0.027838 0.064044 0.134149 0.272763 0.529712 0.970785 1.762391
2026-02-15 0.023519 0.056951 0.124397 0.262554 0.526752 0.992612 1.849070
2026-02-22 0.022360 0.056481 0.127672 0.277763 0.572104 1.102446 2.096430
2026-03-01 0.019115 0.050818 0.119703 0.270023 0.573766 1.135205 2.211608
2026-03-08 0.016291 0.045584 0.111846 0.261439 0.572702 1.162518 2.318442
2026-03-15 0.014080 0.041400 0.105638 0.255449 0.575954 1.197694 2.441590
2026-03-22 0.012875 0.039540 0.104391 0.259944 0.600795 1.275426 2.649113
2026-03-29 0.012077 0.038607 0.105165 0.268964 0.635780 1.375110 2.904616
2026-04-05 0.011150 0.037145 0.104458 0.274491 0.663722 1.462699 3.142088
2026-04-12 0.010155 0.035290 0.102512 0.276862 0.684913 1.538032 3.359985
2026-04-19 0.009167 0.033250 0.099795 0.277024 0.701093 1.604019 3.562980
2026-04-26 0.008138 0.030868 0.095831 0.273637 0.708831 1.652845 3.734024
2026-05-03 0.007189 0.028531 0.091634 0.269134 0.713490 1.695311 3.894369